Public Opinion

News headline shows 10 point lead

Survey Experts Still Scratching Heads Over Trump-Biden Polling Fails

Lingering questions about the misfire in 2020, in which voter support for then-President Donald Trump was understated in final pre-election polls, suggest that troubles in accurately surveying presidential elections could be deeper and more profound than previously recognized.

8 months ago
594
IndyRef game

Methods: In Polling, Bigger Is Not Necessarily Better

As various canvasses and opinion polls attempt to predict the outcome of the Scottish independence plebiscite, it’s worth taking a look at how more methodologically sound inputs lead to more accurate forecasts.

7 years ago
1129